← EFL Championship 2021-22 · Sun, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 46% | 40% | 2.15 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.37 | fair |
| Blackpool win | 25% | 30% | 4.00 | value: +22% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Blackpool −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Jerry Yates · Blackpool |
| 3' | ⚽ | Daniel Ward · Huddersfield |
| 18' | ⚽ | Gary Madine · Blackpool |
| 33' | 🟨 | Harry Toffolo · Huddersfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Blackpool |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Blackpool |
| 61' | 🟥 | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Blackpool |
| 79' | 🟨 | Duane Holmes · Huddersfield |
| 80' | ⚽ | Sorba Thomas · Huddersfield |
| 84' | ⚽ | Sorba Thomas · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| coach days | 543.00 | 665.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1567.41 | 1563.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.36 | -28.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 33.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.90 | — |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 85.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |