← EFL Championship 2020-21 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 44% | 54% | 2.21 | value: +20% |
| Huddersfield win | 29% | 23% | 3.39 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 23% | 3.56 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Lewis Travis · Blackburn |
| 8' | ⚽ | Adam Armstrong · Blackburn |
| 22' | ⚽ | Ben Brereton Díaz · Blackburn |
| 26' | 🟨 | Darragh Lenihan · Blackburn |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Ryan Nyambe · Huddersfield |
| 54' | ⚽ | Adam Armstrong · Blackburn |
| 57' | ⚽ | Sam Gallagher · Blackburn |
| 60' | ⚽ | Adam Armstrong · Blackburn |
| 82' | 🟨 | Duane Holmes · Huddersfield |
| 82' | ⚽ | Josh Koroma · Huddersfield |
| 89' |
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 12 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| 🟨 |
| Jacob Davenport · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| coach days | 1543.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1573.31 | 1538.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.47 | -4.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 50.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.24 | 25.80 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 48.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |