← EFL Championship 2020-21 · Sat, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 54% | 56% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.60 | fair |
| Wycombe win | 20% | 19% | 4.90 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Huddersfield −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Juninho Bacuna · Huddersfield |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ryan Tafazolli · Wycombe |
| 41' | ⚽ | Isaac Mbenza · Huddersfield |
| 45' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Wycombe |
| 57' | 🟨 | Isaac Mbenza · Huddersfield |
| 62' | 🟨 | Pipa · Huddersfield |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Joe Jacobson · Wycombe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 79' | 🟨 | Duane Holmes · Huddersfield |
| 82' | 🟨 | Anthony Stewart · Wycombe |
| 85' |
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| 🟨 |
| Jonathan Hogg · Huddersfield |
| 87' | ⚽ | Josh Knight · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Uche Ikpeazu · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| coach days | 227.00 | 2357.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1547.08 | 1407.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.97 | -34.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 33.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 52.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.34 | -3.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 26.80 |
| state index | -0.45 | -1.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | -1.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |