← EFL Championship 2019-20 · Fri, Jul 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Brooks
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 58% | 51% | 1.66 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.80 | fair |
| Huddersfield win | 17% | 26% | 5.74 | value: +48% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Huddersfield +0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Chris Willock · Huddersfield |
| 19' | 🟨 | Trevoh Chalobah · Huddersfield |
| 23' | 🟨 | Chris Willock · Huddersfield |
| 30' | 🟨 | Matt Phillips · West Brom |
| 38' | 🟨 | Hal Robson-Kanu · West Brom |
| 42' | ⚽ | Dara O'Shea · West Brom |
| 53' | 🟨 | Conor Townsend · West Brom |
| 60' | 🟨 | Fraizer Campbell · Huddersfield |
| 81' | 🟨 | Filip Krovinović · West Brom |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jonas Lössl · Huddersfield |
| 86' |
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| ⚽ |
| Emile Smith Rowe · Huddersfield |
| 88' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Austin · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| coach days | 16.00 | 412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1532.30 | 1746.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.59 | 23.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| league points | 48.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 128.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |