β EFL Championship 2009-10 Β· Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G Hegley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Doncaster win | 16% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 1186.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1575.07 | 1543.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.20 | -25.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 68.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 15.60 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |