β EFL Championship 2009-10 Β· Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F Graham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Scunthorpe win | 33% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Scunthorpe | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1486.08 | 1615.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.22 | 2.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 51.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.60 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |