← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Middlesbrough win | 30% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 670.00 | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1617.44 | 1567.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.54 | 3.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 73.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.20 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.14 |
| travel km | — | 217.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |