← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Cardiff win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 486.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1490.62 | 1616.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.94 | 21.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 53.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.80 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.60 |
| travel km | — | 200.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |