← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Halsey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Watford win | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 821.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 4.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1483.91 | 1487.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.95 | 15.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 54.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.80 |
| state index | -0.97 | -0.06 |
| travel km | — | 116.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |