← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Friend
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Watford win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 297.00 | 327.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1466.78 | 1592.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.24 | 13.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 48.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.57 |
| travel km | — | 47.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |