← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Pawson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Derby win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 10340.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 3.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1525.18 | 1498.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.57 | 7.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 59.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |