← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Tue, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Miller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Watford win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 50.00 | 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 9.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1502.08 | 1474.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.67 | -11.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 51.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.20 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.62 |
| travel km | — | 19.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |