← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T Bates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Crystal Palace win | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 471.00 | 929.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1499.49 | 1513.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.84 | 3.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 52.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.20 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.12 |
| travel km | — | 192.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |