← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: W Atkins
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Plymouth win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 283.00 | 1409.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1476.10 | 1449.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.09 | 8.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 45.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 0.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.20 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |