← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Dean
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Bristol City win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 10326.00 | 1164.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1533.24 | 1589.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.54 | -22.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 56.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |