← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Mon, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Mathieson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Plymouth win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 1404.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 4.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1462.53 | 1560.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.38 | 6.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 41.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.20 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |