β EFL Championship 2009-10 Β· Mon, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: C Foy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Cardiff win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1611.98 | 1603.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.12 | 34.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| league points | 71.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.00 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| travel km | β | 215.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |