← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Mon, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Moss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Ipswich win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 12 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 459.00 | 2743.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1514.47 | 1540.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.52 | -10.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.80 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.05 |
| travel km | — | 199.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |