← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Derby win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 792.00 | 457.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1509.85 | 1502.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.16 | 8.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 52.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.00 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.21 |
| travel km | — | 52.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |