← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Dowd
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Swansea win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 1157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.18 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1595.04 | 1587.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.26 | -47.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| league points | 65.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.80 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.57 |
| travel km | — | 54.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |