← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R East
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Watford win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 269.00 | 177.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1485.44 | 1564.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.13 | 4.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 42.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.60 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.11 |
| travel km | — | 330.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |