← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Derby win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 450.00 | 634.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1490.83 | 1611.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.54 | -21.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 45.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 12.00 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.03 |
| travel km | — | 38.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |