β EFL Championship 2009-10 Β· Wed, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D Deadman
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Weds win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Watford win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield Weds | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | β | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1478.01 | 1494.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.10 | -35.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 40.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.40 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |