← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Tue, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Derby win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 22.00 | 446.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1505.94 | 1488.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.95 | -3.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.59 |
| travel km | — | 176.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |