β EFL Championship 2009-10 Β· Tue, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: K Hill
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Doncaster win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | β | 265.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1567.01 | 1693.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.65 | 16.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| league points | 52.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.00 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.89 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |