← EFL Championship 2009-10 · Sun, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Crossley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 54% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Watford win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.29 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1568.50 | 1504.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.35 | -33.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 55.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.40 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.64 |
| travel km | — | 194.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |