← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: H Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Birmingham win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 3502.00 | 549.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1622.08 | 1612.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.10 | -0.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 77.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.80 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| travel km | — | 132.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |