← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Southampton win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 457.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1516.77 | 1466.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.76 | -4.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 50.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.60 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.46 |
| travel km | — | 226.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |