← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sun, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Oliver
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Bristol City win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1797.00 | 9984.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1568.44 | 1548.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.38 | -24.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 73.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |