β EFL Championship 2008-09 Β· Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: N Miller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Plymouth win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 572.00 | 1059.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1526.37 | 1462.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.27 | 7.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 60.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.80 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |