← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Booth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Watford win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 23 |
| 7 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| coach days | 449.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1474.76 | 1506.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.28 | -19.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 54.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.60 |
| travel km | — | 116.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |