← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Mason
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Bristol City win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 12 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 807.00 | 9969.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1612.56 | 1557.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.77 | -26.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 65.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.40 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |