← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Shoebridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Weds win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Southampton win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield Weds | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 442.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1508.75 | 1476.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.15 | -6.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 54.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.80 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |