β EFL Championship 2008-09 Β· Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: P Crossley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Doncaster win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 1052.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1482.35 | 1503.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.93 | -26.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 50.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |