← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Crystal Palace win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 437.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1466.24 | 1520.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.76 | -31.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 41.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 0.98 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.40 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.54 |
| travel km | — | 106.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |