← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Oliver
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Plymouth win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 529.00 | 1047.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.31 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1622.41 | 1477.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.80 | 9.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 76.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.20 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |