← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Foster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Barnsley win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 802.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1472.30 | 1600.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.64 | -25.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 46.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.60 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |