← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Norwich win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 800.00 | 5033.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1595.34 | 1470.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.24 | 10.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| league points | 59.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.40 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.05 |
| travel km | — | 374.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |