← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nott'm Forest win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Bristol City win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nott'm Forest | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 9962.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1492.25 | 1570.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.61 | -14.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 42.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 14.80 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |