← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Haywood
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| QPR win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 1775.00 | 558.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1561.54 | 1531.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.38 | 8.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 66.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.00 |
| state index | 0.84 | 0.09 |
| travel km | — | 287.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |