← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Wed, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N Swarbrick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 52% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Derby win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1598.87 | 1484.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.29 | 3.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 64.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.40 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.26 |
| travel km | — | 200.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |