← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sun, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Dean
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Swansea win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 794.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1600.78 | 1593.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.58 | -29.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 63.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.96 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.20 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| travel km | — | 54.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |