← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J Moss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Charlton win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 13 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| coach days | 428.00 | 855.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1484.78 | 1413.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.33 | -12.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 40.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.84 |
| travel km | — | 118.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |