← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Laws
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Watford win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1511.71 | 1525.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.44 | 12.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 49.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.20 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |