← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Hegley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 36% | 2.62 |
| Burnley win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 93.00 | 1768.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1483.78 | 1562.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.95 | 50.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 47.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.80 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.93 |
| travel km | — | 110.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |