β EFL Championship 2008-09 Β· Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D Foster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Southampton win | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | β | 414.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1483.65 | 1483.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.33 | 30.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.80 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.08 |
| travel km | β | 341.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |