← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Wed, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A Hall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 55% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Watford win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| coach days | — | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1615.70 | 1528.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.90 | 19.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 60.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.80 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| travel km | — | 194.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |