← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Tue, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G Horwood
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 36% | 2.62 |
| QPR win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 533.00 | 775.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1512.16 | 1604.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.10 | -26.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 50.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.06 |
| travel km | — | 256.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |