β EFL Championship 2008-09 Β· Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M Jones
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 41% | 2.25 |
| QPR win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 407.00 | 530.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1484.00 | 1511.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.33 | -31.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.20 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.75 |
| travel km | β | 104.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |