← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: I Williamson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Derby win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| coach days | 3391.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1604.64 | 1494.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.98 | 27.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 60.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.00 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| travel km | — | 50.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |